Delegate count Feb 4, the day before super Tuesday

Added, Thanks Rand, another site reporting on delegate count as well as waaaaay too much other election/primary info.  The Green Papers

Democratic delegate count:

Clinton--261  Obama-190  Edwards-26  Of those delegates, Clinton has received 213 super delegates and Obama 127.  Voters don’t choose the 842 unpledged “super-delegates” who comprise nearly 40 percent of the number of delegates needed to clinch the Democratic nomination. The category includes Democratic governors and members of Congress, former presidents Bill Clinton, former vice-president Al Gore, retired congressional leaders such as Dick Gephardt, all Democratic National Committee members etc.   That means Clinton has earned 48 primary/caucus delegates so far.  Obama has earned 63 primary delegates.  But, he's really moved up in the super delegate count from several weeks ago.

On the republican side the delegate count is:

McCain-93  Romney-77    Huckabee-40  The republicans do not have super delegates.

California has the biggest delegate prize of all, 441 and right now, one day from the primary, Clinton and Obama's poll average has them 42 to 41.8, Clinton by two tenths.  New York is second with 281 and Clinton has a huge lead.  On the other hand, Illinois has the third largest delegate count at 185 and Obama is way ahead.

Comments

[rand]

In California both parties award delegates by congressional district.For the Republicans, winner takes all in each district. 3 delegates per district, 53 districts for 159 delegates. The winner of the states popular vote gets an additional 11 delegates and the final 3 are the equivalent of super delegates, going to Republican Party leaders in California.

For us Dems, 241 will be allot by vote in each congressional district; with the districts getting 3 to 6 delegates each. The number of delegates a district gets is based on population of the district and the number of votes the Democratic candidate received in the last 2 presidential elections. So the biggest district with the highest concentration of Democratic voters gets the most; the smallest with the fewest Democratic voters get the least.Two districts get only 3 while six districts get six. All the rest get 4 or 5. An additional 129 delegates are proportionately given based on statewide results; thus 370 delegates will be chosen tomorrow. Any candidate with 15% of the vote will get delegates. California then adds 71 Super Delegates for a total of 441.

Pledged right now are 25 for Hillary and 9 for Barrack. These delegates are not bound by law to vote as they have indicated and may switch candidates; thus they are considered "soft delegates". The 370 chosen tomorrow will be bound to the candidate they are elected to represent.

The net result is that if the race is tight, Clinton and Obama should get roughly an equal number of delegates.

I don't think the Democrats have any winner take all states; whereas I think most states are winner take all for the Republicans (see Florida: McCain got all 59 delegates).

My info came mostly from thegreenpapers.com; tho I have participated in past Democratic Primaries and knew how our formula works. BTW, thegreenpapers.com has a breakdown of all states.

Diane: this site has an abundance of info and numbers. Has the delegate count slightly different than realclear (238-167-26); tho the elected delegate counts are the same.

[diane]

Good Grief, you need to be a real statistics geek to figure all that out. But good stuff on the green papers link. Wonder why the difference in delegate count.

[rand]

The difference is probably due to there is no 'official' tally. The only list is probably the one the candidates have for themselves. Otherwise, it's probably up to the 'info gatherers' to read endorsement articles and such.